Civilizational Visions of the Future and Russia's Sovereign Goal-Setting: Historical Foundations of Scientific Futurology

Aim. To develop a methodological framework for Russian scholarly futurology grounded in civilizational theory, ensuring a coherent integration of interpretations of the past and the future within a conceptual perspective that views Russia as a distinct civilization.

Methodology. The study employs a comparative discursive analysis of representations of the future across different methodological paradigms of historical interpretation. It also reconstructs futurological concepts in the context of the variability of civilizational paradigms.

Results. The article substantiates the thesis that understandings of the category “future” are historically and civilizationally variable, and that its substantive content differs across traditions. It identifies the place of the Russian civilizational model of the future within the global spectrum of futurological conceptions.

Research implications. The paper proposes a general methodological contour for the prospective formation of an integral system of Russian scholarly futurology. The findings can be used in developing sovereign national goal-setting, as well as in humanities and social research based on the civilizational approach.

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